Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004538 0.005117 0.005773 0.006579 0.007551 0.008700 0.010177
2026-01-04 0.003771 0.004511 0.005424 0.006661 0.008331 0.010573 0.013927
2026-01-11 0.003277 0.004070 0.005106 0.006605 0.008801 0.012050 0.017558
2026-01-18 0.002955 0.003779 0.004903 0.006620 0.009312 0.013656 0.021939
2026-01-25 0.002664 0.003481 0.004634 0.006470 0.009511 0.014784 0.025944
2026-02-01 0.002397 0.003183 0.004322 0.006193 0.009429 0.015382 0.029159
2026-02-08 0.002175 0.002926 0.004037 0.005913 0.009277 0.015795 0.032164
2026-02-15 0.002065 0.002823 0.003974 0.005981 0.009755 0.017577 0.039580
2026-02-22 0.001930 0.002671 0.003816 0.005863 0.009854 0.018582 0.045570
2026-03-01 0.001803 0.002519 0.003642 0.005695 0.009820 0.019274 0.051148
2026-03-08 0.001697 0.002393 0.003501 0.005567 0.009842 0.020112 0.058015
2026-03-15 0.001656 0.002365 0.003520 0.005736 0.010533 0.022914 0.075911
2026-03-22 0.001619 0.002349 0.003566 0.005988 0.011522 0.027186 0.109735
2026-03-29 0.001555 0.002284 0.003523 0.006058 0.012117 0.030676 0.149846
2026-04-05 0.001481 0.002195 0.003428 0.006009 0.012404 0.033334 0.194677
2026-04-12 0.001422 0.002128 0.003367 0.006022 0.012861 0.036952 0.269579
2026-04-19 0.001351 0.002034 0.003248 0.005890 0.012890 0.038914 0.340855
2026-04-26 0.001271 0.001923 0.003086 0.005647 0.012549 0.039115 0.389354
2026-05-03 0.001197 0.001817 0.002930 0.005401 0.012155 0.038924 0.434540
2026-05-10 0.001165 0.001783 0.002908 0.005461 0.012706 0.043754 0.689429
2026-05-17 0.001116 0.001717 0.002821 0.005357 0.012722 0.045891 0.932266
2026-05-24 0.001066 0.001647 0.002720 0.005209 0.012567 0.047021 1.195312
2026-05-31 0.001024 0.001587 0.002636 0.005095 0.012507 0.048749 1.642331